Sports wagering is often very profitable if anyone know the strategies typically the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make income. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a ideal instance. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western side Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Las vegas had the particular edge in the sport. Nevertheless , I also recognized that there were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not wager on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This game possesses all the indicators of being one involving the best games connected with the year, together with the two teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from appearing down large in the final quarter to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the sport seem like this year?
If this activity were turning into played on some sort of fairly neutral field, West Virginia would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they misplaced to Las vegas Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. EURO88 -2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.
These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU to get tonight’s game. Plus, often the added in reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like much, but in a close up match-up like this, that more point can make the difference between some sort of push in addition to a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home video games.
Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since 12 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points every game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. 7 points every game from home. In case a person failed to do the mathmatical, that means since their own last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their very own adversaries by simply about 34 points per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, by 13 details per sport at home considering that 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s just how…
Most of those stats ended up established during the june 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They also have experienced recent games where they also have only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of online games weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
The bottom line is of which this is still a close video game to call up. But the things i look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to this low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this kind of game and not really bet at all. There will be better activities this end of the week with more simple benefits.
The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big they could very well still win following generating so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this kind of match, people serious regarding gambling saved money they can put to better make use of on upcoming games.